SPY Trade update

Posted by: Admin: "The Vol_Trader"  //  Category: Volatility Trades

On 4/21 I posted about a trade in SPY that was long Vega, short delta, along with a short straddle to offset theta.

With today’s downward move and VIX spike, our trade is doing quite well.  See the Thinkorswim analyze tab below. (Click any picture to enlarge)

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Note: If you are unfamiliar with the Thinkorswim platform, usually when I post analyze tab screenshots, the lighter color blue is the one standard deviation move in the underlying by expiration of the front month options in the position.

So, now I’m thinking of adjusting this trade.  I can take off the whole thing for a quick profit or modify it.  I’m thinking the market has more to decline and thus higher VIX.  So, I want to reduce my risk and exposure to the opposite happening, i.e. reduce my short delta, and reduce my long Vega.  How is the hard question.  There are many ways to do this…

Positive delta, and negative Vega.  If you thought short put that would be right.  I also considered selling an OTM call straddle.  Both of these give me long theta. I’m going to choose the short puts to keep it a little more simple. 

The higher the strike put, the more short delta I get.  I chose to sell 5 contracts of the Jun 120 put.

This changes my short delta from –1067 to –761, still very short.  My Vega changes from 128 to 48.  This way if the market rallies and the IV collapse from today’s spike peak, it won’t hurt as much.  The new analyze tab looks very similar to the above.

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Still short delta and long vega.

Below in the LiveVol Pro software, 6 month chart of IV, you can see the front month and back month IV of SPY continues to climb with today’s selloff.  It has not been this high since the major selloff in January.

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As usual, I’ll keep you posted on status of this trade.

GRMN update – profit taken.

Posted by: Admin: "The Vol_Trader"  //  Category: Earnings Trades, Volatility Trades

On 4/8/10  I found a vertical spread in GRMN using the LiveVol Pro Software.

At that time, I sold a calendar spread in GRMN leading up to earnings tomorrow before market open.  GRMN was trading at $38.21.  As of right now, GRMN is trading at $37.51.

Looking at the LiveVol Pro Skew chart (click to enlarge all pictures) below you can see the front month options are significantly higher IV than back months.  This is typical before earnings. 

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We’re in a perfect place in my opinion before earnings being short May and Long July, however, the spread has given me a profit of $720 already and I just got out.  I figure I’ll pocket the profit now and move on to the next trade rather than take the risk holding through earnings.

I sold the spread for a debit of 2.05 on 4/8/10.  I sold it today for a net credit of $2.41. You can see in the Thinkorswim analyze tab below.

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